AI PRICE FORECAST
AJG Stock Forecast & AI Price Prediction
Arthur J. Gallagher · Financial Services · Insurance Brokers
AJG live signal snapshot
AJG last traded at $282.01, down 0.23% on the session, trading 4.3% below its 52-week high of $294.53 and 47.8% above its 52-week low of $190.75. Our AI model's current call on AJG is BUY, with 86% confidence. Short-term momentum is constructive: the 5-, 10- and 20-day moving averages are stacked upward and price is holding above the 50-day average. The model's one-month path points toward roughly $289.51 (2.7% from here).
On the 14-day relative strength index, AJG reads 61.7, showing buyers in control without the stretch of an overbought reading. Its MACD line is above its signal line with a positive histogram (0.76) — upward momentum is accelerating. With the 50-day average at $251.06, 7.6% over the 200-day's $233.23, the longer-term trend structure remains positive.
The average 12-month target from 18 Wall Street analysts is $300.11 (range $253.00–$388.00) — 6.4% upside from where AJG trades now. The current recommendation trend leans bullish: 14 Buy/Strong Buy ratings vs 1 Sell/Strong Sell (and 8 Hold).
Live figures from real market data feeds, current as of the last site build. Open the interactive AJG dashboard for numbers updated throughout today's session.
About Arthur J. Gallagher
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) is an insurance brokers company in the financial services sector, headquartered in Rolling Meadows, IL, United States. Arthur J. Gallagher & Co., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance and reinsurance brokerage, consulting, and third-party property/casualty claims settlement and administration services to entities and individuals worldwide. It has a market value of about $72.3 billion and roughly 69,041 full-time employees. With a beta of 0.46, the stock has historically moved less than the overall market.
AJG performance vs. the market
Since the start of 2026 the stock has risen 9.0%, behind the S&P 500 (+11.4%) and ahead of the financial services sector fund XLF (+7.0%). On a one-year view it is up 12.3%, roughly in line with the S&P 500. The last month (+21.1%) continues the three-month advance (+11.3%).
| Period | AJG | Sector (XLF) | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | +21.1% | +7.0% | −2.3% |
| 3 months | +11.3% | +0.6% | −2.3% |
| Year to date | +9.0% | +7.0% | +11.4% |
| 1 year | +12.3% | +10.7% | +11.5% |
Arthur J. Gallagher financials at a glance
In the quarter ended Sep 30, 2026, Arthur J. Gallagher reported revenue of $4.0 billion and net income of $403 million (a 10.1% net margin). Revenue was up 20.9% from the same quarter a year earlier. The stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 43.1 on trailing earnings of $6.55 per share. Trailing free cash flow was $2.8 billion, and total debt equals 56% of shareholders' equity.
| Quarter ended | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | $4.0B | $403M |
| Jun 30, 2026 | $4.0B | $324M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $4.8B | $822M |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $3.6B | $151M |
AJG vs. its peers
Against 5 of its largest financial services peers, AJG's +9.0% year-to-date return beats 3 of them. The strongest of the group this year is Visa (V, +21.3%).
| Company | Price | YTD | P/E | AI verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) | $282.01 | +9.0% | 43.1 | BUY |
| Aon (AON) | $336.55 | −4.6% | 18.4 | BUY |
| JPMorgan Chase (JPM) | $343.39 | +6.6% | 14.4 | BUY |
| Visa (V) | $425.55 | +21.3% | 34.5 | BUY |
| Mastercard (MA) | $660.73 | +15.7% | 34.6 | BUY |
| Bank of America (BAC) | $50.67 | −7.9% | 12.1 | HOLD |
AJG stock: common questions
What is the AJG stock price target?
18 Wall Street analysts put the average 12-month target at $300.11, in a range of $253.00–$388.00, versus a recent price of $282.01. Stock Pulse 247's model projects about $289.51 over the next month.
Is AJG a buy right now?
Our AI model currently rates AJG a BUY at 86% confidence. Among analysts, 14 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 8 Hold and 1 Sell. Neither is personal advice — weigh them with your own research and risk tolerance.
How has AJG stock performed this year?
Since the start of 2026 the stock has risen 9.0%, behind the S&P 500 (+11.4%) and ahead of the financial services sector fund XLF (+7.0%). On a one-year view it is up 12.3%, roughly in line with the S&P 500. The last month (+21.1%) continues the three-month advance (+11.3%).
What is AJG's 52-week high and low?
AJG has traded between $190.75 and $294.53 over the past 52 weeks; at $282.01 it is 4.3% below its 52-week high of $294.53 and 47.8% above its 52-week low of $190.75.
What sector is AJG in, and who are its peers?
AJG is in the financial services sector (insurance brokers). Its largest peers on Stock Pulse 247 include Aon (AON), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Visa (V), Mastercard (MA).
How accurate is the AJG forecast?
It's a model estimate from price history, technical indicators and analyst targets, not a guarantee — no model predicts short-term moves reliably. Use it as one input alongside your own research.
How this works: the forecast combines AJG's price history, momentum indicators (RSI, MACD, moving averages), volatility and analyst targets into one estimate. It's a model, not a guarantee.