AI PRICE FORECAST
MSFT Stock Forecast & AI Price Prediction
Microsoft · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
MSFT live signal snapshot
MSFT last traded at $521.13, down 2.26% on the session, trading 6.8% below its 52-week high of $559.15 and 49.2% above its 52-week low of $349.20. Our AI model's current call on MSFT is SELL, with 71% confidence. Short-term moving averages are mixed right now, without a clean bullish or bearish stack forming yet. The model's one-month path points toward roughly $498.01 (-4.4% from here).
On the 14-day relative strength index, MSFT reads 48.8, close to the midpoint, so momentum gives neither side an edge. Its MACD line is below its signal line with a negative histogram (-1.12) — downward momentum is accelerating. Its 50-day average ($518.20) is holding 17.6% above the 200-day ($440.76), the pattern chartists call a golden cross.
The average 12-month target from 54 Wall Street analysts is $636.12 (range $440.00–$870.00) — 22.1% upside from where MSFT trades now. The current recommendation trend leans bullish: 53 Buy/Strong Buy ratings vs 0 Sell/Strong Sell (and 5 Hold).
Live figures from real market data feeds, current as of the last site build. Open the interactive MSFT dashboard for numbers updated throughout today's session.
About Microsoft
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is a software - infrastructure company in the technology sector, headquartered in Redmond, WA, United States. Microsoft Corporation, a technology company, develops and supports a portfolio of technology solutions for individuals and businesses worldwide. It has a market value of about $3.87 trillion and roughly 223,000 full-time employees. Its beta of 1.04 means it has historically moved roughly in line with the market.
MSFT performance vs. the market
Year to date, MSFT has gained 7.8%, behind the S&P 500 (+11.4%) and behind the technology sector fund XLK (+21.1%). On a one-year view it is up 3.0%, 8.5 points worse than the S&P 500. Momentum has recently turned: −4.1% in the last month against +4.9% over three months.
| Period | MSFT | Sector (XLK) | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | −4.1% | −11.2% | −2.3% |
| 3 months | +4.9% | −8.6% | −2.3% |
| Year to date | +7.8% | +21.1% | +11.4% |
| 1 year | +3.0% | +18.0% | +11.5% |
Microsoft financials at a glance
In the quarter ended Sep 30, 2026, Microsoft reported revenue of $92.3 billion and net income of $36.6 billion (a 39.7% net margin). Revenue was up 18.8% from the same quarter a year earlier. The stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.2 on trailing earnings of $19.16 per share. Trailing free cash flow was $3.0 billion, and total debt equals 29% of shareholders' equity.
| Quarter ended | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | $92.3B | $36.6B |
| Jun 30, 2026 | $90.0B | $35.8B |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $82.9B | $31.8B |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $81.3B | $38.5B |
MSFT vs. its peers
Against 5 of its largest technology peers, MSFT's +7.8% year-to-date return beats 2 of them. The strongest of the group this year is CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD, +95.5%).
| Company | Price | YTD | P/E | AI verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft (MSFT) | $521.13 | +7.8% | 27.2 | SELL |
| Palantir Technologies (PLTR) | $172.40 | −3.0% | 121.4 | HOLD |
| Oracle (ORCL) | $128.38 | −34.1% | 20.1 | HOLD |
| Palo Alto Networks (PANW) | $334.47 | +81.6% | 836.2 | HOLD |
| CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) | $229.06 | +95.5% | 3,817.7 | HOLD |
| Cloudflare (NET) | $315.00 | +59.8% | — | BUY |
MSFT stock: common questions
What is the MSFT stock price target?
54 Wall Street analysts put the average 12-month target at $636.12, in a range of $440.00–$870.00, versus a recent price of $521.13. Stock Pulse 247's model projects about $498.01 over the next month.
Is MSFT a buy right now?
Our AI model currently rates MSFT a SELL at 71% confidence. Among analysts, 53 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 5 Hold and 0 Sell. Neither is personal advice — weigh them with your own research and risk tolerance.
How has MSFT stock performed this year?
Year to date, MSFT has gained 7.8%, behind the S&P 500 (+11.4%) and behind the technology sector fund XLK (+21.1%). On a one-year view it is up 3.0%, 8.5 points worse than the S&P 500. Momentum has recently turned: −4.1% in the last month against +4.9% over three months.
What is MSFT's 52-week high and low?
MSFT has traded between $349.20 and $559.15 over the past 52 weeks; at $521.13 it is 6.8% below its 52-week high of $559.15 and 49.2% above its 52-week low of $349.20.
What sector is MSFT in, and who are its peers?
MSFT is in the technology sector (software - infrastructure). Its largest peers on Stock Pulse 247 include Palantir Technologies (PLTR), Oracle (ORCL), Palo Alto Networks (PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD).
How accurate is the MSFT forecast?
It's a model estimate from price history, technical indicators and analyst targets, not a guarantee — no model predicts short-term moves reliably. Use it as one input alongside your own research.
How this works: the forecast combines MSFT's price history, momentum indicators (RSI, MACD, moving averages), volatility and analyst targets into one estimate. It's a model, not a guarantee.