AI PRICE FORECAST
VLO Stock Forecast & AI Price Prediction
Valero Energy · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
VLO live signal snapshot
Shares of VLO were last at $363.71, up 3.71% on the day, trading 21.2% below its 52-week high of $461.52 and 127.5% above its 52-week low of $159.90. The model's verdict for VLO right now: SELL (84% confidence). The short-term averages line up bearishly, and the price remains under its 50-day line. Its one-month projection is about $349.02, a -4.0% move from the last price.
VLO's 14-day RSI is 32.8 — approaching oversold, suggesting weakening momentum. The MACD indicator trails its signal line, with a histogram of -6.16 pointing to selling pressure. Its 50-day average ($399.61) is holding 36.5% above the 200-day ($292.82), the pattern chartists call a golden cross.
19 Wall Street analysts covering VLO put the average price target at $423.05 (range $238.00–$530.00), implying 16.3% upside from the current price. The current recommendation trend leans bullish: 9 Buy/Strong Buy ratings vs 3 Sell/Strong Sell (and 8 Hold).
Live figures from real market data feeds, current as of the last site build. Open the interactive VLO dashboard for numbers updated throughout today's session.
About Valero Energy
Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) is an oil & gas refining & marketing company in the energy sector, headquartered in San Antonio, TX, United States. Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and… It has a market value of about $101.4 billion and roughly 9,785 full-time employees. With a beta of 0.55, the stock has historically moved less than the overall market.
VLO performance vs. the market
VLO is up 123.4% so far in 2026, ahead of the S&P 500 (+11.4%) and ahead of the energy sector fund XLE (+41.7%). Over the past 12 months the stock has gained 103.0%, 91.5 points better than the S&P 500. The direction has flipped lately — −20.3% over the past month versus +6.1% across three.
| Period | VLO | Sector (XLE) | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | −20.3% | −5.7% | −2.3% |
| 3 months | +6.1% | +3.8% | −2.3% |
| Year to date | +123.4% | +41.7% | +11.4% |
| 1 year | +103.0% | +40.3% | +11.5% |
Valero Energy financials at a glance
Valero Energy's most recent quarter (ended Sep 30, 2026) brought in $46.1 billion of revenue and net income of $6.8 billion (a 14.8% net margin). Revenue was up 46.5% from the same quarter a year earlier. The stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.3 on trailing earnings of $43.97 per share. Trailing free cash flow was $12.6 billion, and total debt equals 35% of shareholders' equity.
| Quarter ended | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | $46.1B | $6.8B |
| Jun 30, 2026 | $44.5B | $3.7B |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $32.4B | $1.3B |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $30.4B | $1.1B |
VLO vs. its peers
VLO's +123.4% this year ranks ahead of 4 of the 5 big energy names below. The strongest of the group this year is Marathon Petroleum (MPC, +147.7%).
| Company | Price | YTD | P/E | AI verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valero Energy (VLO) | $363.71 | +123.4% | 8.3 | SELL |
| Marathon Petroleum (MPC) | $402.84 | +147.7% | 8.0 | HOLD |
| Phillips 66 (PSX) | $258.68 | +100.5% | 8.3 | HOLD |
| ExxonMobil (XOM) | $166.71 | +38.5% | 17.2 | SELL |
| Chevron (CVX) | $213.28 | +39.9% | 15.7 | SELL |
| ConocoPhillips (COP) | $137.86 | +47.3% | 14.5 | HOLD |
VLO stock: common questions
What is the VLO stock price target?
19 Wall Street analysts put the average 12-month target at $423.05, in a range of $238.00–$530.00, versus a recent price of $363.71. Stock Pulse 247's model projects about $349.02 over the next month.
Is VLO a buy right now?
Our AI model currently rates VLO a SELL at 84% confidence. Among analysts, 9 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 8 Hold and 3 Sell. Neither is personal advice — weigh them with your own research and risk tolerance.
How has VLO stock performed this year?
VLO is up 123.4% so far in 2026, ahead of the S&P 500 (+11.4%) and ahead of the energy sector fund XLE (+41.7%). Over the past 12 months the stock has gained 103.0%, 91.5 points better than the S&P 500. The direction has flipped lately — −20.3% over the past month versus +6.1% across three.
What is VLO's 52-week high and low?
VLO has traded between $159.90 and $461.52 over the past 52 weeks; at $363.71 it is 21.2% below its 52-week high of $461.52 and 127.5% above its 52-week low of $159.90.
What sector is VLO in, and who are its peers?
VLO is in the energy sector (oil & gas refining & marketing). Its largest peers on Stock Pulse 247 include Marathon Petroleum (MPC), Phillips 66 (PSX), ExxonMobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX).
How accurate is the VLO forecast?
It's a model estimate from price history, technical indicators and analyst targets, not a guarantee — no model predicts short-term moves reliably. Use it as one input alongside your own research.
How this works: the forecast combines VLO's price history, momentum indicators (RSI, MACD, moving averages), volatility and analyst targets into one estimate. It's a model, not a guarantee.