AI PRICE FORECAST
PGR Stock Forecast & AI Price Prediction
The Progressive · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty
PGR live signal snapshot
Shares of PGR were last at $233.53, up 0.77% on the day, trading 3.1% below its 52-week high of $241.02 and 23.4% above its 52-week low of $189.20. The model's verdict for PGR right now: HOLD (72% confidence). The technical signals aren't aligned enough for a directional call yet. The short-term averages are tangled, giving no clean trend signal either way. Its one-month projection is about $238.93, a 2.3% move from the last price.
PGR's 14-day RSI is 57.4 — healthy bullish momentum without being overextended. The MACD indicator trails its signal line, with a histogram of -0.05 pointing to selling pressure. With the 50-day average at $219.47, 4.4% over the 200-day's $210.32, the longer-term trend structure remains positive.
21 Wall Street analysts covering PGR put the average price target at $232.38 (range $196.00–$262.00), implying 0.5% downside from the current price. The current recommendation trend leans bullish: 8 Buy/Strong Buy ratings vs 2 Sell/Strong Sell (and 15 Hold).
Live figures from real market data feeds, current as of the last site build. Open the interactive PGR dashboard for numbers updated throughout today's session.
About The Progressive
The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is an insurance - property & casualty company in the financial services sector, headquartered in Mayfield, OH, United States. The Progressive Corporation operates as an insurance company in the United States. It has a market value of about $135.3 billion and roughly 70,053 full-time employees. With a beta of 0.2, the stock has historically moved less than the overall market.
PGR performance vs. the market
Since the start of 2026 the stock has risen 2.6%, behind the S&P 500 (+11.4%) and behind the financial services sector fund XLF (+7.0%). Over the past 12 months the stock has gained 7.4%, 4.1 points worse than the S&P 500. Its +4.8% move over the past month extends a +11.8% three-month run.
| Period | PGR | Sector (XLF) | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | +4.8% | +7.0% | −2.3% |
| 3 months | +11.8% | +0.6% | −2.3% |
| Year to date | +2.6% | +7.0% | +11.4% |
| 1 year | +7.4% | +10.7% | +11.5% |
The Progressive financials at a glance
The Progressive's most recent quarter (ended Sep 30, 2026) brought in $22.3 billion of revenue and net income of $2.5 billion (a 11.4% net margin). Revenue was up 3.0% from the same quarter a year earlier. The stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.8 on trailing earnings of $19.85 per share. Trailing free cash flow was $13.0 billion, and total debt equals 24% of shareholders' equity.
| Quarter ended | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | $22.3B | $2.5B |
| Jun 30, 2026 | $21.1B | $3.3B |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $23.6B | $2.8B |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $19.5B | $3.0B |
PGR vs. its peers
PGR's +2.6% this year ranks ahead of 0 of the 5 big financial services names below. The strongest of the group this year is The Travelers Companies (TRV, +37.7%).
| Company | Price | YTD | P/E | AI verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Progressive (PGR) | $233.53 | +2.6% | 11.8 | HOLD |
| Chubb Limited (CB) | $370.33 | +18.6% | 13.0 | BUY |
| The Travelers Companies (TRV) | $399.46 | +37.7% | 10.5 | HOLD |
| JPMorgan Chase (JPM) | $343.39 | +6.6% | 14.4 | BUY |
| Visa (V) | $425.55 | +21.3% | 34.5 | BUY |
| Mastercard (MA) | $660.73 | +15.7% | 34.6 | BUY |
PGR stock: common questions
What is the PGR stock price target?
21 Wall Street analysts put the average 12-month target at $232.38, in a range of $196.00–$262.00, versus a recent price of $233.53. Stock Pulse 247's model projects about $238.93 over the next month.
Is PGR a buy right now?
Our AI model currently rates PGR a HOLD at 72% confidence. Among analysts, 8 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 15 Hold and 2 Sell. Neither is personal advice — weigh them with your own research and risk tolerance.
How has PGR stock performed this year?
Since the start of 2026 the stock has risen 2.6%, behind the S&P 500 (+11.4%) and behind the financial services sector fund XLF (+7.0%). Over the past 12 months the stock has gained 7.4%, 4.1 points worse than the S&P 500. Its +4.8% move over the past month extends a +11.8% three-month run.
What is PGR's 52-week high and low?
PGR has traded between $189.20 and $241.02 over the past 52 weeks; at $233.53 it is 3.1% below its 52-week high of $241.02 and 23.4% above its 52-week low of $189.20.
What sector is PGR in, and who are its peers?
PGR is in the financial services sector (insurance - property & casualty). Its largest peers on Stock Pulse 247 include Chubb Limited (CB), The Travelers Companies (TRV), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Visa (V).
How accurate is the PGR forecast?
It's a model estimate from price history, technical indicators and analyst targets, not a guarantee — no model predicts short-term moves reliably. Use it as one input alongside your own research.
How this works: the forecast combines PGR's price history, momentum indicators (RSI, MACD, moving averages), volatility and analyst targets into one estimate. It's a model, not a guarantee.