AI PRICE FORECAST
MCD Stock Forecast & AI Price Prediction
McDonald's · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
MCD live signal snapshot
MCD last traded at $274.80, down 2.61% on the session, trading 19.6% below its 52-week high of $341.75 and 19.9% above its 52-week low of $229.20. The model's verdict for MCD right now: BUY (87% confidence). Short-term momentum is constructive: the 5-, 10- and 20-day moving averages are stacked upward and price is holding above the 50-day average. The model's one-month path points toward roughly $286.09 (4.1% from here).
On the 14-day relative strength index, MCD reads 73.4, above the 70 line traders treat as overbought, so a breather would not be unusual. Its MACD line is above its signal line with a positive histogram (2.50) — upward momentum is accelerating. With the 50-day average at $249.75, 11.4% under the 200-day's $281.86, the longer-term trend structure is still negative.
The average 12-month target from 29 Wall Street analysts is $299.00 (range $230.00–$390.00) — 8.8% upside from where MCD trades now. The current recommendation trend leans bullish: 17 Buy/Strong Buy ratings vs 1 Sell/Strong Sell (and 16 Hold).
Live figures from real market data feeds, current as of the last site build. Open the interactive MCD dashboard for numbers updated throughout today's session.
About McDonald's
McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is a restaurants company in the consumer cyclical sector, headquartered in Chicago, IL, United States. McDonald's Corporation owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the McDonald's brand in the United States and internationally. It has a market value of about $193.9 billion and roughly 150,000 full-time employees. With a beta of 0.43, the stock has historically moved less than the overall market.
MCD performance vs. the market
Since the start of 2026 the stock has fallen 10.1%, behind the S&P 500 (+11.4%) and behind the consumer cyclical sector fund XLY (+1.3%). On a one-year view it is down 8.1%, 19.6 points worse than the S&P 500. The last month (+16.5%) continues the three-month advance (+0.9%).
| Period | MCD | Sector (XLY) | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | +16.5% | +7.7% | −2.3% |
| 3 months | +0.9% | +2.1% | −2.3% |
| Year to date | −10.1% | +1.3% | +11.4% |
| 1 year | −8.1% | +1.3% | +11.5% |
McDonald's financials at a glance
In the quarter ended Sep 30, 2026, McDonald's reported revenue of $7.2 billion and net income of $2.5 billion (a 34.7% net margin). Revenue was up 1.1% from the same quarter a year earlier. The stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.7 on trailing earnings of $12.64 per share. Trailing free cash flow was $5.7 billion.
| Quarter ended | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | $7.2B | $2.5B |
| Jun 30, 2026 | $7.1B | $2.4B |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $6.5B | $2.0B |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $7.0B | $2.2B |
MCD vs. its peers
Against 5 of its largest consumer cyclical peers, MCD's −10.1% year-to-date return beats 1 of them. The strongest of the group this year is Starbucks (SBUX, +30.5%).
| Company | Price | YTD | P/E | AI verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's (MCD) | $274.80 | −10.1% | 21.7 | BUY |
| Starbucks (SBUX) | $109.89 | +30.5% | 49.7 | BUY |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) | $36.64 | −1.0% | 34.2 | BUY |
| Amazon.com (AMZN) | $266.17 | +15.3% | 21.5 | BUY |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $390.84 | −13.1% | 429.5 | BUY |
| The Home Depot (HD) | $351.31 | +2.1% | 24.6 | BUY |
MCD stock: common questions
What is the MCD stock price target?
29 Wall Street analysts put the average 12-month target at $299.00, in a range of $230.00–$390.00, versus a recent price of $274.80. Stock Pulse 247's model projects about $286.09 over the next month.
Is MCD a buy right now?
Our AI model currently rates MCD a BUY at 87% confidence. Among analysts, 17 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 16 Hold and 1 Sell. Neither is personal advice — weigh them with your own research and risk tolerance.
How has MCD stock performed this year?
Since the start of 2026 the stock has fallen 10.1%, behind the S&P 500 (+11.4%) and behind the consumer cyclical sector fund XLY (+1.3%). On a one-year view it is down 8.1%, 19.6 points worse than the S&P 500. The last month (+16.5%) continues the three-month advance (+0.9%).
What is MCD's 52-week high and low?
MCD has traded between $229.20 and $341.75 over the past 52 weeks; at $274.80 it is 19.6% below its 52-week high of $341.75 and 19.9% above its 52-week low of $229.20.
What sector is MCD in, and who are its peers?
MCD is in the consumer cyclical sector (restaurants). Its largest peers on Stock Pulse 247 include Starbucks (SBUX), Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG), Amazon.com (AMZN), Tesla (TSLA).
How accurate is the MCD forecast?
It's a model estimate from price history, technical indicators and analyst targets, not a guarantee — no model predicts short-term moves reliably. Use it as one input alongside your own research.
How this works: the forecast combines MCD's price history, momentum indicators (RSI, MACD, moving averages), volatility and analyst targets into one estimate. It's a model, not a guarantee.